We were curious about the World Cup odds offered by Kalshi and DraftKings after a significant price discrepancy for Harry Kane to score for England tomorrow.
At the time this piece was published, Kane was +117 at Kalshi and -120 at DraftKings to find the back of the net against Norway. Was that an aberration?
No, in looking at the match lines for the three remaining quarterfinal games, Kalshi offered better odds across the board.
Back in March, a Truist study found that bettors preferred DraftKings over Kalshi. Given the odds below, they might want to reconsider. Sports prediction markets don’t appear to be going anywhere anytime soon, and you always want the best line value for your bets.
Kalshi vs. DraftKings Odds Comparison for Quarterfinal Games
Here’s a look at the odds breakdown for the quarterfinal matches featuring Spain vs. Belgium, Norway vs. England, and Argentina vs. Switzerland:
| Kalshi | Spain -285 | Belgium +285 |
| DraftKings | Spain -340 | Belgium +285 |
| Kalshi | Norway +178 | England -186 |
| DraftKings | Norway +175 | England -215 |
| Kalshi | Argentina -285 | Switzerland +270 |
| DraftKings | Argentina -310 | Switzerland +240 |
If you’re backing any of the favorites to advance, Kalshi offers significantly better odds. There’s less difference for the underdogs, but Kalshi still owns the advantage.
This is a small sample size, of course, but Kalshi offered better value on all of these games to finish tied at the end of regulation, too.
The moral of the story is to compare the odds being offered on different platforms.
World Cup Futures Odds Comparison
Let’s examine the futures odds on the 2026 World Cup champion team at Kalshi and DraftKings.
| Team | Kalshi Odds | DraftKings Odds |
| France | +149 | +134 |
| Argentina | +441 | +410 |
| Spain | +488 | +410 |
| England | +545 | +470 |
| Norway | +1487 | +1600 |
| Belgium | +4662 | +3200 |
| Switzerland | +5163 | +3500 |
The results don’t get much better for DraftKings in this market, as it only offers better odds on Norway to lift the cup. If you’re betting on either of the two longshots, do so at Kalshi. That’s a lot of money to leave on the table.
The sports betting industry has fundamentally changed with the rise of prediction markets. No matter where you stand on the legal debate and who should regulate, the fact is that they are available for the foreseeable future to bet on sports.
One of the keys to long-term success and profitability in sports betting is finding the best odds for all of your bets. For this next stretch of the World Cup, Kalshi is a better option than DraftKings, but be sure to check FanDuel, Polymarket, and others as well.
The post Kalshi Offers Better Odds Across the Board Than DraftKings for Upcoming World Cup Games appeared first on CasinoBeats.
