Joey Chestnut and Miki Sudo are favored to win the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest on Saturday in Coney Island, New York. We’ve got you covered with odds from DraftKings and predictions.
DraftKings offers “Winner Without Chestnut” and “Winner Without Sudo” markets, and it might be prudent to wager in those, given the prohibitive odds on both of these master masticators.
Let the gluttony begin!
Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds at DraftKings
Check out the odds on the top competitive eaters in the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest at DraftKings:
Men
- Joey Chestnut -2000
- Patrick Bertoletti +1000
- James Webb +2200
- Geoffrey Esper +3000
- Nick Wehry +4000
- Max Stanford +5000
- Yunho Choi +12000
- Derek Hendrickson +15000
- Gideon Oji +15000
- Radim Dvoracek +15000
- George Chiger +15000
Women
- Miki Sudo −1200
- Michelle Lesco +800
- Domenica Dee +2000
- Larell Marie Mele +5000
- Tandra Childress +7500
- Katie Prettyman +9000
Best Bets on Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest
Joey Chestnut UNDER 70.5 Hot Dogs Eaten (-155 at DraftKings)
Chestnut finds himself amidst another controversy (see note below on 2024) – and on probation – for slapping a fan in a bar.
Food for thought: Chestnut has won 17 of these contests. He set the record for most hot dogs and buns (HDBs) eaten at 76 in 2021, but his productivity has dipped in recent years.
- 2025: 70.5
- 2024: Banned from competition due to sponsorship deal with Impossible Foods
- 2023: 62
- 2022: 63
Chestnut hasn’t gone OVER this number since setting the record. It’s supposed to be sweltering on Saturday, with temperatures reaching the mid-90s. That won’t help him here. You can also bet UNDER 68.3 at FanDuel at -110.
Winner Without Joey Chestnut
Geoffrey Esper (+3000 at DraftKings)
Geoffrey Esper has been runner-up in four of the last five years here. His personal record of 53 HDBs was set in 2024. Also, play the OVER on Esper eating more than 45.5 HDBs (-130 at DK).
Domenica Dee OVER 25+ HDBs (+355 at Kalshi)
Domenica Dee bills herself as a food content creator and competitive eater. With more than 80,000 TikTok followers, she hosts “Dee Street Eats” on the platform.
Dee impressed as a rookie last year, finishing with 21.5 HDBs to finish third. She also wolfed down a personal best 23.5 HDBs last June in a qualifying event at the Alameda County Fair in California. In the mood for corn dogs, anyone?
We don’t like Dee’s chances of beating Sudo, but this number at Kalshi is within reach at nice odds. Dee has an implied probability of 21% of hitting this prop.
Recent Nathan’s Hot Dog Contest Winners
| Year | Men’s Winner | HDBs | Year | Women’s Winner | HDBs |
| 2025 | Joey Chestnut | 70.5 | 2025 | Miki Sudo | 33 |
| 2024 | Patrick Bertoletti* | 58 | 2024 | Miki Sudo | 51 |
| 2023 | Joey Chestnut | 62 | 2023 | Miki Sudo | 39.5 |
| 2022 | Joey Chestnut | 63 | 2022 | Miki Sudo | 40 |
| 2021 | Joey Chestnut | 76 | 2021 | Michelle Lesco** | 30.75 |
*Chestnut was banned for illegal sponsorship. **Sudo missed the contest due to her pregnancy.
The post 2026 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds & Predictions: Joey Chestnut & Miki Sudo Favored appeared first on CasinoBeats.
