The World Cup offers up another banger of a semifinal on Wednesday when England meets Argentina at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET with live coverage on FOX.
Kalshi is dealing England as a -122 favorite to advance. Argentina is the +117 underdog to move on to what would be its second consecutive championship game after winning the 2022 World Cup.
England vs. Argentina Odds on Kalshi
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
| England (moneyline in regulation) | 37% | +170 |
| Argentina (moneyline in regulation) | 32% | +213 |
| Draw | 34% | +194 |
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 41% | +144 |
| England -1.5 goals | 16% | +525 |
Best Bet England vs. Argentina: OVER 2.5 Goals (+144)
Argentina has scored three goals in five of its six matches. England, which averages 2.16 goals per match, has had some defensive lapses during this World Cup. Argentina has also been exposed on the back line throughout the tournament.
Lionel Messi has been an unstoppable force with eight goals, which ties him with France’s Kylian Mbappe at the top of the Golden Boot standings. Mbappe is the -150 favorite to win the award, with Messi priced at +213 by Kalshi.
Meanwhile, Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham have both scored six goals for England.
These two teams last met in a 2005 friendly, and England prevailed 3-2. The bitter rivalry between England and Argentina spans six decades. England’s David Beckham drew a red card for kicking Diego Simeone in 1998. Prior to that, Argentina legend Diego Maradona scored his “Hand of God” goal in 1986.
England leads Argentina 3-2 after five meetings in the World Cup. This will be the first time Messi plays against the Three Lions.
Los Albiceleste is fortunate to be here after scares against Cape Verde and Egypt. We lean toward a 3-2 win for England in a game that soars OVER the total.
Best Player Prop for England vs. Argentina
Jude Bellingham OVER 0.5 Goals (+285)
Jude Bellingham helped carry England into the semifinal round, scoring both goals in a 2-1 win over Norway. It marked the second consecutive match that Bellingham struck for a pair of goals. He had two of England’s three goals in the huge win over Mexico at Azteca Stadium.
The last player to score two goals in back-to-back World Cup knockout games? That was Argentina’s Maradona back in 1986. It’d be no surprise to see Bellingham find the back of the net at least once on Wednesday.
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